Place Your Bets

I have two papers under review right now. Each has made it past the referees and is sitting on the desk of an Editor-In-Chief waiting for a decision. One has been sitting there since this morning; the other has been there for almost seven weeks. (The second one also spent a number of weeks in transit between the referees and the editor, and has been clear of the refs for longer than the first one has been under review at the current journal.)

So the question is, which one will get rejected first? The one with the quicker procedures, or the one with the seven-week head start?

--Mr. Zero